Detection of annual burned forest area using change metrics constructed from MODIS data in Manitoba, Canada
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The monitoring of annual burned forest area is commonly used to evaluate forest fire carbon release and forest recovery and can provide information on the evolution of carbon sources and sinks. In this work, a new method for mapping annual burned area using four types of change metrics constructed from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data for Manitoba, Canada, was developed for the 2003–2007 period. The proposed method included the following steps: (1) four types of change metrics constructed from MODIS composite data; (2) Stochastic Gradient Boosting algorithm; and (3) two thresholds to ascertain the final burned area map. Fire-event records from the Canadian National Fire Database (CNFDB) for Manitoba were used to train and validate the proposed algorithm. The predicted burned area was within 91.8% of the CNFDB results for all of the study years. The results indicate that the presented metrics could retain spectral information necessary to discriminate between burned and unburned forests while reducing the effects of clouds and other noise typically present in single-date imagery. A visual comparison to Thematic Mapper (TM) images further revealed that in some areas the mapping provided improvement to the CNFDB data set.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".