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Record W175895449

Beef Trade: A Decade of Perspective

2013· article· en· W175895449 on OpenAlex
Gregg Doud

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueLincoln (University of Nebraska) · 2013
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicLivestock Farming and Management
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPerspective (graphical)International tradeBusinessComputer scienceArtificial intelligence
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Nearly 11 years ago when I became the Chief Economist of the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association, one of the greatest jobs any son of a Kansas farmer/rancher could have, I was told that unlike wheat, corn and soybeans, beef trade just didn’t matter much. Early on during my tenure, it was the opinion of some that we needed to focus our efforts on keeping beef imports out and that beef exports would never be anything more than a niche business of little consequence to the bottom line of U.S. cattlemen. I politely disagreed then and recall what I was thinking to myself at the time…you don’t know what you’ve got until it is gone. Back in 2003 BCSC (Before the Cow that Stole Christmas), beef exports in 2003 were $3.86 billion with Japan leading the way at $1.4 billion – statistics I can still recall off the top of my head. Actually, beef exports already mattered a lot back in 2003. Back in the fall of that year, our export tonnage was hitting new monthly levels and the November 2003 value of beef exports was $150/head – a historic high. If hides and offal were added in the value of these exports came to just under $200/head. Currently, export markets account for almost $300/head, which means that 17 percent of the value of a finished steer now comes from the international marketplace. Another way to look at it is that 17 percent of the money used as payment for the product we are producing comes in the form of Pesos, Yen, Won, Yuan, Euros, Rubles, Canadian or Taiwan dollars. The point here is that producers should not get caught up in the notion that per capita domestic beef consumption is declining. Think of the marketplace in terms of every consumer on the planet who buys their food from a supermarket, “wet market” butcher or restaurant. Also consider that one of the biggest economic changes of the past decade is the increased buying power of consumers in all corners of the globe for U.S. beef.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.906
Threshold uncertainty score0.838

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.180
Teacher spread0.169 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it