A hybrid intelligent algorithm for optimum forecasting of CO<sub>2</sub> emission in complex environments: the cases of Brazil, Canada, France, Japan, India, UK and US
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This study presents a hybrid meta-modeling algorithm for optimum carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emission estimation. It is composed of artificial neural network (ANN), fuzzy linear regression (FLR), and conventional regression (CR). Different FLR models are considered to cover the latest algorithms and viewpoints. ANN with different training algorithms and transfer functions is also applied to data sets. The proposed hybrid algorithms uses analysis of variance (ANOVA), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) to select between ANN, FLR or conventional regression for future CO 2 emission estimation. The intelligent algorithm of this study is then applied to estimate CO 2 emission in seven countries including India, Canada, Brazil, France, Japan, United Kingdom and United States. Different models are selected as preferred model for annual CO 2 emission estimation in these countries. The preferred model for India, Brazil, United Kingdom and United States is selected as FLR whereas the preferred model for CO 2 emission estimation in Japan, Canada and France is ANN. This shows how adopting the proposed hybrid algorithm could help in selecting the preferred model between FLR, ANN and CR in order to cover possible noise, complexity and ambiguity. This is the first study that utilizes a hybrid algorithm based on ANN, FLR and CR for accurate and optimum long term CO 2 emission estimation.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it