Les Candidats Sortants: Atout Ou Obstacle a la Participation Electorale?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Les elections municipales quebecoises sont marquees par deux phenomenes politiques, soit la forte reelection des candidats sortants et une participation electorale souvent plus faible qu'aux autres echelons de gouvernement. Mais a quel point la reelection des candidats sortants et la faible mobilisation electorale sont-elles liees ? La presence de candidats sortants influence-t-elle la participation electorale ? A partir des taux de participation a la mairie et aux postes de conseillers municipaux aux elections de 2013 dans les dix villes les plus peuplees du Quebec, nous allons tester huit hypotheses permettant d'expliquer la participation electorale--dont une sur la presence d'un candidat sortant--. Les resultats montrent qu'il n'y a pas de lien direct entre la presence de candidats sortants et le taux de participation electorale au poste de conseiller de ville. Toutefois, la presence de candidats sortants influence la nature de l'offre electorale ainsi que le degre de competitivite de l'election, et associee a un contexte specifique, il est possible de penser qu'elle contribue a determiner le taux de participation electorale et la qualite du jeu democratique. ===== Quebec municipal elections are marked by two political phenomena: the strong re-election of incumbents and a turnout rate often lower than at other levels of government. But how are these two phenomena related? Do the presence of incumbents influence the turnout rate? Using data from the ten largest cities in Quebec in 2013 elections, eight hypotheses--including the presence of incumbents--are tested to explain voter turnout. The results show that there is no direct link between the presence of incumbents and the turnout for the position of city councilor. However, the presence of incumbents affects the nature of the electoral offer and the level of competitiveness of the election, and associated with a specific context, it is possible to think that it helps to determine the voter turnout and the quality of democracy.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.006 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.021 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".