Impact of observed versus hypothesized service utilization on the incremental cost of first trimester screening and prenatal diagnosis for trisomy 21 in a Canadian province
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this research was to determine the impact of observed versus hypothesized service utilization on the cost of first trimester screening (FTS) and prenatal diagnosis for trisomy 21 in a Canadian province. METHODS: A population-based pregnancy cohort was created by linking 12 clinical and administrative databases. Care trajectories were derived to examine utilization patterns for FTS, prenatal diagnosis, and pregnancy termination. A literature review was conducted to determine what utilization parameters were used in economic evaluations of FTS. Local cost data was applied to observed and hypothesized care trajectories. RESULTS: The observed mean cost per fetus with trisomy 21 detected prenatally using FTS was $129,606.04 compared with $27,021.45 for women who did not access FTS. Observed utilization of FTS and prenatal diagnosis among screen positive women and termination of pregnancy following prenatal diagnosis of trisomy 21 were substantially lower than hypothesized in existing cost effectiveness studies. Cost estimates were sensitive to hypothetical changes in utilization of prenatal screening, prenatal diagnosis, and pregnancy termination. CONCLUSION: Literature-based estimates of the cost-effectiveness of prenatal screening may not accurately represent current local practice due to potentially unrealistic assumptions about what proportion of women will proceed to invasive testing and ultimately terminate an affected pregnancy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".