Abstract 16514: Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Detected Carotid Plaque Characteristics Predict Systemic Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Clinically Established Atherosclerosis in the AIH-HIGH Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Although vulnerable plaques are considered the pathological substrate for acute cardiovascular events, the pursuit of imaging surrogate markers for systemic atherothrombotic risk is currently focused on plaque burden. The prognostic value of vulnerable plaque characteristics as novel markers for systemic cardiovascular outcomes remains elusive. Advances in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) have enabled characterization of the vulnerable carotid plaque. In a prospective study, we tested whether MRI-detected carotid plaque characteristics predict subsequent cardiovascular events. Methods: As part of an event-driven clinical trial, subjects with clinically established atherosclerotic disease were recruited. A multi-sequence protocol was used to measure the volumes of calcification and necrotic core (NC), and to identify the presence of intraplaque hemorrhage (IPH) and thin/ruptured fibrous cap (FC) using published criteria. The primary endpoint included fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke, hospitalization for acute coronary syndrome, and symptom-driven revascularization. Cox regression analysis was used to present results as hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: Of 232 subjects recruited, 214 (92.2%) with diagnostic image quality constituted the study population (mean age: 61±9 years; male: 82%; statin use: 94%). Calcification, NC, IPH, and thin/ruptured FC were detected in 48%, 52%, 8% and 14% of subjects, respectively. During a median follow-up of 35.1 months, 18 (8.4%) subjects reached the primary endpoint. MRI-detected plaque characteristics associated with the primary endpoint included larger NC (HR per 1 standard deviation increase in volume [1-SD]: 1.43 [1.16, 1.75], p<0.001), thin/ruptured FC (HR: 4.31 [1.67, 11.12], p=0.003), and marginally IPH (HR: 3.00 [0.99, 9.13], p=0.053). Although calcium deposition is traditionally pursued as a marker for atherosclerosis, subjects with larger calcification (HR per 1-SD: 0.60 [0.26, 1.41], p=0.20) did not show increased risk. Conclusions: Vulnerable plaque characteristics are prevalent in carotid arteries of patients with established atherosclerosis and are predictive of systemic cardiovascular outcomes.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".