Using radar altimeter backscatter to evaluate ice cover on the Yukon River
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Use of radar altimetry for measuring fresh water systems is a blossoming area of research that has great potential to develop science’s understanding of this precious human resource. The field of satellite altimetry has benefitted from enormous gains since the 1970s. With the launch of GEOS 3 in 1975, humanity began a quest to achieve an understanding of the hydrosphere on a scale previously thought impossible. Though historically the focus of altimetry missions has been studying the ocean, hardware advances have allowed use of satellite altimetry at much higher resolutions, making study of inland waters a possibility. One underlying challenge is to establish a reliable way to determine whether an altimeter is measuring the intended target when used for inland study; surface water measurement, for instance, is confounded by ice coverage, particularly at high latitudes. To overcome this obstacle, Landsat satellite imagery was used to isolate Jason-2 altimetry data from the Yukon River. An altimeter measurement of radar backscatter (how much of the original signal was collected after surface reflection), σ_0, was extracted from the Jason-2 data set, while relative ice cover was determined visually from the Landsat image. σ_0, or the backscatter coefficient, is a metric for the portion of the original radar signal that is returned to the satellite. Water typically returns a much higher reading than ice or land. By manually matching relative ice cover to measured σ_0 values, we propose to create a standard curve for σ_0, with the long term goal of automating the process of determining relative ice cover by removing the need for direct observation. While this project has had promising findings and has identified a traceable seasonal pattern in σ_0, we have demonstrated that to determine a one- to-one relationship between ice and backscatter will be challenging.\nNotable findings include that there were no scenes without complete ice cover with σ_0 readings below 8.6dB. The mean σ_0 reading during ice cover was 17.6dB, with a standard deviation of 8.67 dB. The data were highly skewed toward lower end of the range, but had a lengthy tail of measurements that extended well into σ_0 values that would be expected from liquid water. The majority of data from fully frozen scenes is grouped around 13.3 dB. In fact 72% of the data fell within one standard deviation of that value. In the case of completely thawed scenes, the mean value was 37.08 dB, with a standard deviation of 10.07 dB. This grouping is not very tight making a confident classification based only on σ_0 difficult. . Melting ice frequently resembles water in terms of its backscatter signature while maintain enough coverage to obstruct hydrologically valid measurements. A seasonal pattern in σ_0 has been observed, though it is not yet well enough defined to be used for ice classification\n\n
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".