The Rationale behind Turkey's High Gasoline Prices
Bibliographic record
Abstract
As oil prices increase, companies experience rising costs and falling profits, leaving governments to deal with the increasing interest rate, inflation and unemployment. However, on the consumer side, the key concern of increasing oil prices is their direct impact on the gasoline pump prices. Consequently, oil price rises have always been an important part of the public debate, especially in countries experiencing high prices for gasoline, such as Turkey. After decades of high prices, Turkey has the most expensive gasoline in the world, at 2.64 $s/litre as of Quarter 2 of 2013. The aim of this paper is to reveal which factors are most important in determining gasoline pump prices in Turkey. In addition, a comparison of the periods with different pricing regimes is presented in order to demonstrate the actual effects of policy changes imposed by the government. The results show that, rather than the market variables, retail pump prices are primarily determined by variables that are more of a macroeconomic nature. This conclusion suggests that these market variables are utilized by companies in the market as tools for regulating prices that can be perceived an informal automatic price regulation mechanism.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".