Transaction-based link strength prediction in a social network
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The revolution of social networks and methods of analyzing them have attracted interest in many research fields. Predicting whether a friendship holds in a social network between two individuals or not, link prediction, has been a heavily researched topic in the last decade . In this paper we investigate a related problem, link strength prediction: how to assign ratings or strengths to friendship links. A basic approach would be matrix factorization applied to only friendship ratings. However, the existence of extensive transactions among users may be used for better predictions. We propose a new type of multiple-matrix factorization model for incorporating a transaction matrix. We derive gradient descent update equations for learning latent factors that predict values in the target rating matrix. Multiple-matrix factorization can be seen as a data fusion technique, that combines evidence from different sources. In the social network application, the target matrix contains friendship ratings and the evidence matrices specify transaction intensities between users. To evaluate the model, we introduce data from Cloob, a popular Iranian social network as well as synthetic data.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.012 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".