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Record W1989651955 · doi:10.1177/002070200105600405

Nicaragua 1996–2001

2001· article· en· W1989651955 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Katherine Isbester

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal Canada s Journal of Global Policy Analysis · 2001
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicReligion and Society in Latin America
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsElitePresidencyPower (physics)PoliticsPolitical scienceGovernment (linguistics)AllianceSilenceLawFront (military)SociologyEconomic historyPolitical economyHistory

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Katherine Isbester received her PhD from the University of Toronto in 1996. Her book, Still Fighting: The Nicaraguan Women's Movement 1977-2000, was recently published by the University of Pittsburgh Press.NICARAGUAN POLITICS, which received so much coverage during the 1980s, has received precious little since. Recently, however, the media silence has been broken. Nicaragua began to receive international attention once again when Daniel Ortega announced his intention to run for the presidency in the election of 4 November 2001. The possibility of the return of a man with historic links to Middle Eastern terrorist nations, as the American government reminded Nicaraguans, prompted a high level of diplomatic intervention.Perhaps the flurry of diplomatic activity was unnecessary. The Ortega of today and his party, the Sandinista Front for National Liberation (FSLN), have changed in their decade out of power. To have a chance at re-election, Ortega and the FSLN altered their fundamental orientation from supporting the poor to co-operating with the Nicaraguan elite at the same time as they capitalized on its divisions. This article analyzes how the outgoing government, the American-backed right-wing Liberal Alliance, divided the elite in Nicaragua and alienated the populace during the 1990s, thus paving the way for the re-emergence of Ortega and the FSLN. As a result of the FSLN remodelling itself and the Liberals underperforming, the election was too close to call.When the FSLN came to power through a popular revolution in 1979, it initiated a number of social justice programmes to help the disenfranchised and the poor, fought an American-backed counter-revolutionary civil war, and nationalized parts of the economy. It also implemented an agrarian reform programme. Despite these muchlauded policies, it was democratically voted out of power in 1990.The Nicaraguan populace opted for right-wing American-approved governments that promised peace with the United States and economic prosperity. Since the FSLN were voted out of office, there have been two such governments. The National United Opposition (UNO), led by Violeta Chamorro, lasted from 1990 to 1996. It oversaw Nicaragua's transition to a capitalist economy integrated into the global market through structural adjustment programmes, the professionalization of the army, the finalization of peace with the counter-revolutionary forces, and an inter-party agreement over property ownership. Nonetheless, the standard of living for the vast majority of the populace fell, violence in the form of re-armed militias increased, and governance ground to a halt in 1994. As a result, Nicaraguans doubted the ability of democratic institutions to improve their lives. On the brink of social, political, and economic chaos, in the 1996 presidential elections they chose a neo-populist(1) strongman, Arnoldo Aleman of the Liberal Alliance.Aleman, a lawyer who represented banks and other commercial enterprises before the 1979 revolution, came from a family of staunch supporters of the dictatorship. His property, like that of all those who had been closely affiliated with the dictator, Somoza, was seized by the FSLN, and Aleman was jailed and released. Nonetheless, he remained in Nicaragua through the 1980s increasing his land holdings. In 1990, he was elected to Managua's city council and manoeuvred to become mayor, a position he held until he became president in 1996. While in office, he beautified the city by installing fountains and traffic round-abouts, planting trees, and knocking down crumbling buildings. These programmes were remarkably popular even among the poor and made a visible - if superficial - difference to the city. Throughout his tenure, Aleman publicized how much he was able to accomplish compared to the stalemated National Assembly. During his election campaign, he promised the same modernization treatment for the country. Funded by the Nicaraguan elite and American expatriates, including the rich expatriate Cuban-American community, Aleman won the election. …

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.708
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.362
Teacher spread0.348 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2001
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venueInternational Journal Canada s Journal of Global Policy AnalysisSame topicReligion and Society in Latin AmericaFrench-language works237,207