Post infarction ventricular septal defect – can we do better?✩
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of early and late outcome among 117 consecutive patients who underwent postinfarction ventricular septal defect (VSD) repair over a period of 12 years. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of clinical data was performed. Mean age was 65.5+/-7.8. There were 43 females. Full data were obtained in 110 patients. Of these, 76 patients presented with anterior and 34 with posterior VSD. Thirty-three patients were operated in cardiogenic shock. Mean time between myocardial infarction (MI) and VSD development was 5.6+/-7.8 days (median 4) and from VSD to surgery 9. 0+/-28.1 (median 2). Sixty-six patients had intraaortic balloon pump (IABP) inserted, and 15 were ventilated preoperatively. Logistic regression and Cox regression were used for multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Thirty days mortality was 37%. Among 110 patients, in whom complete analysis was possible, 38 died within 30 days (35%). Mortality in the posterior VSD group was 35% and in the anterior VSD group 34% (NS). In 44 patients (40%) a residual shunt was found on postoperative echocardiography. This required reoperation in 13 patients (four deaths). Cardiogenic shock prior to surgery adversely influenced early survival - odds ratio (OR) 5.7 (confidence interval (CI) 2.1-16.0) (P=0.0008). Deterioration of haemodynamic status in between admission and surgery was stronger predictor of mortality than shock on admission - OR 6.0 (CI 1.6-22.6) (P=0.008) vs. 3.1 (CI 1.0-9.3) (P=0.049). A longer time between MI and surgery favoured survival - OR 0.1 (CI 0.03-0.4) (P=0.002). The time period from the infarct to the septal rupture, but not from the rupture to surgery, appeared to be a significant predictor of survival - OR 0.2 (CI 0. 05-0.6) (P=0.008). Five years survival was 46+/-5%. Preoperative cardiogenic shock affected late survival - OR 2.7 (CI 1.5-4.9) (P=0. 001). Of 72 patients who survived 30 postoperative days, 12 (17%) were in New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III or IV and five (6.9%) in Canadian Cardiovascular Soceity (CCS) class III or IV at the last follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative cardiogenic shock and early postinfarction septal rupture carry a grave prognosis. Achieving haemodynamic stability prior to surgery may be beneficial but prolonged attempts to improve patients' cardiovascular state are hazardous.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".