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Record W1996284466 · doi:10.1176/pn.41.2.0009a

Trends in Teen Drinking, Smoking Continue Gradual Decline

2006· article· en· W1996284466 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Eve Bender

Bibliographic record

VenuePsychiatric News · 2006
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicYouth Substance Use and School Attendance
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBinge drinkingQuarter (Canadian coin)Monitoring the FutureDemographyMedicinePsychologyEnvironmental healthInjury preventionPoison controlSubstance abusePsychiatryGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Back to table of contents Previous article Next article Professional NewsFull AccessTrends in Teen Drinking, Smoking Continue Gradual DeclineEve BenderEve BenderPublished Online:20 Jan 2006https://doi.org/10.1176/pn.41.2.0009aTeen drinking continued to drop gradually in 2005, and while cigarette use dropped for 10th and 12th graders, nearly a quarter of teenagers are smoking by the time they leave high school, according to the results of the 2005 Monitoring the Future Survey.In 2005, 17 percent of eighth graders, 33.2 percent of 10th graders, and 47 percent of seniors reported using alcohol in the month preceding the survey.These levels are down one to two percentage points from 2004 and down considerably from recent peaks in 1999, when 24 percent of eighth graders, 40 percent of 10th graders, and half of all seniors reported past month use of alcohol.In 2005, 14 percent of eighth graders, 34.2 percent of 10th graders, and 47.7 percent of 12th graders reported being drunk in the past year.Binge drinking, defined as consuming four or more alcoholic beverages for women and five or more for men, has been declining at a much slower rate. According to a report on the findings, there was a nonstatistically significant drop in binge drinking in all three grades between 2004 and 2005. Going back several years, binge-drinking rates have remained steady.In 2005, 10.5 percent of eighth graders, 21 percent of 10th graders, and 28 percent of seniors reported binge drinking in the previous two weeks.At a press conference in Washington, D.C., last December announcing the findings, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism Director Ting-Kai Li, M.D., said that binge drinking "accounts for a lot of the immediate harm that comes to those who drink and those around them."He also pointed out that "binge drinking predisposes our youth to alcohol addiction."Just as alcohol use has declined, so has cigarette use among American teens since usage rates peaked in the mid-1990s, according to a report on the survey's findings.However, that decline halted among eighth graders, whom the report called the "bellwethers" of smoking trends among teens.In 2004, 9.2 percent of eighth graders, 16 percent of 10th graders, and 25 percent of 12th graders reported smoking in the month previous to the survey. Last year, the rate remained the same for eighth graders but dropped by one or two percentage points for students in the upper grades.Nonetheless, the finding that nearly one-fourth of teens are smoking by the time they leave high school is worrisome. "That rate is unacceptable," said Lloyd Johnston, Ph.D., the study's principal investigator.Johnston explained that the level of perceived risk associated with smoking, which had been increasing over the past several years, halted in the upper grades, and "personal disapproval of smoking halted among eighth graders this year."He also said that a "substantial decline" in the funding of antismoking advertising may have contributed to the end of smoking declines in younger students.More information about the 2005 Monitoring the Future Survey is posted on the Web at .▪ ISSUES NewArchived

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.030
Threshold uncertainty score0.060

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0020.002
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0150.005

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.303
Teacher spread0.285 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2006
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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