Modelling a coastal ridging event over south‐eastern Australia
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Coastal ridging is an important component of the weather of south‐eastern Australia during the summer. The mesoscale aspects of such an event are often not well forecast, and this can have serious implications for aviation, shipping, air quality and bushfire control. A previous study by Speer & Leslie (1997) identified three types of coastal ridging according to the associated synoptic conditions. In this study, a coastal ridging event, which appears to have aspects of all three types, is examined with the aid of mesoscale manual analyses, surface and radiosonde data and simulations with a mesoscale numerical model (Colorado State University Regional Atmospheric Modeling System). It is found that the model is able to capture the salient features of the event but, on the east coast, tends to produce a weaker event than that observed. The model ridging also tends to lag the observed feature on the east coast by a few hours. It is suggested that these model deficiencies may relate to deficiencies in the lower atmosphere air mass characteristics, which, in turn, may relate to the surface parameterisations in the model. Copyright © 2002 Royal Meteorological Society.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.026 | 0.003 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it