Observational Study of Treatment Outcome in Early Diffuse Cutaneous Systemic Sclerosis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Randomized clinical trials in early diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc) are challenging. We used an observational approach to estimate the relative effectiveness of different current treatment approaches, capturing entry and outcome data in a standardized way. METHODS: Patients with dcSSc within 3 years of the onset of skin thickening were included. Standardized entry and followup data were collected in relation to the first disease-modifying treatment at baseline and 4-6 weeks, then 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months. The 5 different protocols were (1) intravenous cyclophosphamide followed by mycophenolate mofetil (MMF); (2) antithymocyte globulin followed by MMF; (3) MMF alone; (4) no disease-modifying treatment; (5) other immunosuppressant treatment. The primary outcome measure was the modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS). Inverse probability of treatment weights were used to allow for differing patient characteristics between groups. RESULTS: The study included 147 patients from 12 centers. Numbers of patients starting on Protocols 1 to 5 were 29, 25, 61, 19, and 13, respectively. mRSS decreased over time from 24 (IQ 19-32) at baseline to 15.5 (IQ 9-24.5) at 3 years. Although there were differences in the magnitude of the change for different protocols, there were no significant differences between protocols in the rate of change of mRSS over time (p = 0.43). When inverse probability weights were applied, the results remained nonsignificant (p = 0.41). CONCLUSION: Using this observational approach, there were no obvious differences in outcome between groups after allowing as far as possible for baseline differences in treatment allocations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".