Low resting heart rates are associated with new‐onset atrial fibrillation in patients with vascular disease: results of the <scp>ONTARGET</scp>/<scp>TRANSCEND</scp> studies
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Elevated systolic blood pressure (SBP) and high resting heart rate (HR) are associated with cardiovascular end-points. Although the association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and SBP is well established, the relation between AF and HR remains unclear. METHODS: In patients from the ONTARGET and TRANSCEND studies with high cardiovascular disease risk (n = 27 064), new-onset AF was evaluated in relation to mean SBP, visit-to-visit variation in SBP (SBP-CV; i.e. SD/mean × 100%), mean HR and visit-to-visit variation in HR (HR-CV). RESULTS: Low mean HR (P < 0.0001) and high SBP (P = 0.0021) were associated with incident AF. High SBP-CV (P = 0.031) and HR-CV (P < 0.0001) were also associated with incident AF. After adjustment for confounders, SBP and SBP-CV were no longer significantly associated with AF. The detrimental effect of low HR was particularly evident in subjects who were not receiving treatment with beta-blockers (P = 0.014 for interaction between beta-blocker use and mean HR). In addition to low HR, high HR-CV and high SBP had additive effects on incident AF. CONCLUSIONS: Low mean HR (<60 beats min(-1) ) is independently associated with incident AF, and low HR-CV and high SBP further increase the incidence of new-onset AF in patients at high risk of cardiovascular disease.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.018 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".