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Record W2012070999 · doi:10.2118/142854-pa

Assessing Well-Integrity Risk: A Qualitative Model

2012· article· en· W2012070999 on OpenAlexaff
J. C. Dethlefs, B.. Chastain

Bibliographic record

VenueSPE Drilling & Completion · 2012
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicRisk and Safety Analysis
Canadian institutionsConocoPhillips (Canada)
FundersConocoPhillips
KeywordsBrainstormingFailure mode and effects analysisRisk analysis (engineering)Risk assessmentRanking (information retrieval)Process (computing)Risk managementComputer scienceFault tree analysisContainment (computer programming)EngineeringReliability engineeringBusinessComputer security

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Summary For successful delivery of well integrity (WI), there needs to be an understanding of the risks that can cause undesirable events such as safety hazards or loss of containment. Performing a risk assessment (RA) on a well, or type of well, will help determine and rank the potential risks and provide information that allows limited resources to be applied in the most effective manner. The main objectives of performing a risk assessment include (a) following a formal process to assess risk consistently and to enable comparison between well-barrier failure-mode scenarios; (b) qualitatively assessing well-barrier failure risk for every segment of a well; (c) documenting suggestions that are offered by the riskassessment team for mitigating well-barrier failure risk; and (d) providing a report of the methodology, failure-mode scenarios, risk ranking, and potential mitigation actions for use as a reference tool for managing WI on a routine basis. Our WI/RA model follows a common qualitative risk-assessment process—a team-based, structured brainstorming format, using the "What-If Methodology" to identify potential hazards associated with well-barrier failure modes. In addition, the model has the following attributes: It incorporates a unique method to segment well barriers into discrete sections, successively "failing" each section for evaluation. The list of analyzed well-barrier failure modes, along with their risk ranking, becomes the risk register for the well or type of well.It is adaptable for assessing well-barrier failure modes on a single well, or a group of wells, having the same general design parameters. An entire well portfolio can be assessed quickly by analyzing types of wells rather than individual wells.It can be used to assess well-barrier failure risk for any type of well.The model can easily be modified to conform to any company's risk model.The WI/RA model has been proven toSuccessfully assess well-barrier failure risk for thousands of wellsFocus specifically on well-barrier failure modes, and as a result be an effective tool that should be incorporated into a "best-in-class" WI programBe used as a management tool to provide guidance for how limited resources can be used effectively to continuously deliver WI.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.006
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.012
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.024
Threshold uncertainty score0.072

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0060.012
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0020.004
Scholarly communication0.0060.006
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0120.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.344
GPT teacher head0.500
Teacher spread0.156 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations34
Published2012
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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