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Record W2014177587 · doi:10.1002/jbmr.230

The evolution of fracture risk estimation

2010· article· en· W2014177587 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Neil Binkley, E. Michael Lewiecki

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Bone and Mineral Research · 2010
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicBone health and osteoporosis research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsFRAXMedicineOsteoporosisHip fractureBone mineralRisk assessmentFemoral neckBone densityFracture (geology)Physical therapyInternal medicineOsteoporotic fracture

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The goal of osteoporosis treatment is fracture risk reduction. Identification of patients at high risk for fracture is facilitated by the World Health Organization (WHO) diagnostic classification system, whereby osteoporosis is diagnosed in the presence of a T‐score of −2.5 or less. However, many fragility fractures occur in individuals with a bone mineral density (BMD) T‐score that is better than −2.5.1 As such, limiting treatment to patients with a T‐score of −2.5 or less would miss a large number of patients who will later sustain a fracture that might have been prevented by appropriate identification and early intervention. BMD combined with clinical risk factors for fracture provides a better prediction of fracture risk than BMD or clinical risk factors alone. The WHO fracture risk assessment tool, FRAX, is a computer‐based algorithm with an input of patient demographics, a “yes” or “no” response indicating the presence or absence of each of seven clinical risk factors for fracture, and femoral neck BMD (when available) to estimate the 10‐year probability of major osteoporotic fracture (ie, hip, spine, proximal humerus, and distal forearm) and the 10‐year probability of hip fracture.2 Country‐specific mortality data can be used to calibrate the fracture probabilities, with 32 countries included in FRAX at the time of this writing. Cost‐utility analysis then may be applied to FRAX‐derived data, using numerous economic, social, and political assumptions, to determine the magnitude of fracture risk at which it is likely to be cost‐effective to initiate pharmacologic therapy to reduce fracture risk. FRAX has been incorporated recently into bone densitometer software and some handheld computer devices, allowing greater access to this tool as an aid in making treatment decisions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.021
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.077
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.021
Threshold uncertainty score0.109

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0210.077
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0040.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0060.004
Open science0.0050.003
Research integrity0.0030.006
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.029
GPT teacher head0.402
Teacher spread0.373 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations7
Published2010
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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