Current Assessment of Risk–Benefit by Regulators: Is It Time to Introduce Decision Analyses?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Regulatory risk-benefit assessments may overweight small but serious risks relative to benefits. Using terfenadine and torsade de pointes as an exemplar, we illustrate how a different decision may result when outcomes are assessed using quality-adjusted life-years within a decision-analytical framework. The adoption of common measures of health outcome and the use of decision analyses, which will allow uncertainty to be characterized and evidence to be compiled from disparate sources, may inform complex risk-benefit decisions and should be used in conjunction with qualitative assessments.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.295 | 0.419 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.017 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.017 | 0.033 |
| Open science | 0.007 | 0.005 |
| Research integrity | 0.014 | 0.029 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".