Cost and health consequences of treatment of primary biliary cirrhosis with ursodeoxycholic acid
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Long-term use of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is the recommended therapy in primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC). The lifetime effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of UDCA in PBC have, however, not been assessed. AIM: To estimate the health outcomes and lifetime costs of a Norwegian cohort of PBC patients on UDCA. METHODS: Norwegian PBC patients (n = 182) (90% females; mean age 56.3 ± 8.9 years; Mayo risk score 4.38) who were included in a 5-year open-label study of UDCA therapy were subsequently followed up for up to 11.5 years. The lifetime survival was estimated using a Weibull survival model. The survival benefit from UDCA was based on a randomised clinical trial from Canada, comparing the effect of non-UDCA and UDCA. Survival and costs of standard care vs. standard care plus UDCA were simulated in a Markov model with death and liver transplantation as major events, invoking transition of a patient's state in the model. RESULTS: The gain in life expectancy for a PBC patient on UDCA compared with standard care was 2.24 years (1.19 years discounted). The lifetime treatment costs were EUR 151,403 and EUR 157,741 (EUR 102,912 and EUR 115,031 discounted) for patients with and without UDCA respectively. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated an 82% probability that UDCA entails both greater life expectancy and lower costs than standard care. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study indicate that UDCA therapy is a dominant strategy as it confers reduced morbidity and mortality, as well as cost savings, compared with standard therapy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".