Privatization in Canada: Operating and Stock Price Performance with International Comparisons
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract This paper analyzes the operating and stock price performance of the major Canadian share‐issue privatizations, including Air Canada, Canadian National Railway, Petro‐Canada, and six provincial privatizations. First, using time‐series accounting data, we examine changes in operating and financial performance before and after privatization. Second, we compare the Canadian performance experience to privatizations in other countries. Third, we examine the long‐run effect of privatization on shareholder returns. The evidence indicates that privatization significantly improved the operating and financial performance of Canadian companies. Net income, profitability, efficiency, and dividend payments were significantly higher following privatization than before privatization. Employment and debt were significantly lower following privatization. Relative to privatizations in other industrialized countries, Canadian corporations did not grow as fast and had more layoffs. However, they experienced greater increases in profit and profitability, and larger reductions in debt. The increases in productivity, capital expenditures, and dividend payments were similar to firms in other countries. In the five years following privatization, shareholders of Canadian companies enjoyed significant, positive, market‐adjusted buy‐and‐hold returns. This suggests that the operating performance improvements were larger than was expected at the time of privatization. Résumé Cette étude analyse les performances économiques et financières des sociétés d'État canadiennes qui ont été privatisées. En utilisant des données temporelles avant et après la privatisation, nous analysons trois entreprises privatisées par le gouvernement fédéral canadien (Air Canada, Pétro‐Canada, et le Canadien National) ainsi que six autres entreprises privatisées par les gouvernements provinciaux. Nous comparons l'expérience canadienne aux autres privatisations majeures qui ont eu lieu à travers le monde. Finalement, nous étudions les rendements que ces entreprises ont procurés à leurs actionnaires. Les résultats tendent à démontrer qu'au Canada, la privatisation a eu un effet positif sur la performance. La rentabilité, la productivité, et les paiements de dividendes des entreprises canadiennes privatisées ont augmenté significativement suite à la privatisation. Le nombre d'employés et les niveaux d'endettement ont diminué de façon marquée. Comparativement aux privatisations mondiales, les privatisations canadiennes n'ont pas obtenu une croissance aussi grande et ont procédé à plus de mises à pied. Toutefois, on note une plus grande amélioration de la rentabilité et une plus grande réduction de l'endettement. Durant les cinq années qui ont suivi la privatisation, les actionnaires d'entreprises canadiennes privatisées ont bénéficié de rendements boursiers supérieurs à ceux procurés par l'ensemble du marché canadien de même que supérieurs à ceux procurés par les entreprises privatisées à travers le monde. Ce résultat tend à démontrer que l'amélioration de la performance des entreprises canadiennes privatisées a dépassé les attentes des investisseurs.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it