Molecular data resolve placement of the Olympic marmot and estimate dates of trans-Beringian interchange
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We reinvestigated the phylogeny of all 15 species of Marmota to resolve a conflict between 2 published analyses, one by Kruckenhauser et al. and another by Steppan et al., regarding the Olympic marmot (M. olympus) and to improve resolution in the genus. We acquired fresh samples of M. olympus, combined all available data on mitochondrial DNA (cytochrome b [Cytb] and ND3/ND4), new sequences for ND3/ND4, and 2,000 base pairs (bp) of the nuclear RAG1 gene. All analyses indicate that M. olympus is a much older, rather than more recent, offshoot of the widespread hoary marmot (M. caligata) or Vancouver Island marmot (M. vancouverensis). The mitochondrial data and some RAG1 results are largely congruent, but RAG1 differs on several points, including: the subgenus Marmota appears paraphyletic to Petromarmota, with reciprocally monophyletic Palearctic and Nearctic clades; and the long-tailed marmot (M. caudata) and Menzbier's marmot (M. menzbieri) are not sister species, suggesting mitochondrial introgression. Asia was colonized by Marmota from North America at approximately 4.6 million years ago (mya), followed by rapid diversification of several major lineages. M. olympus diverged from the M. caligata-M. vancouverensis lineage at approximately 2.6 mya, whereas M. vancouverensis and M. caligata diverged at only about 0.4–1.2 mya. M. olympus might have survived in isolation on the Olympic Peninsula in a nunatak refugium throughout a series of glacial maxima.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".