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Record W2030102082 · doi:10.2118/2004-295

The Banff Taxonomy of Asset Valuation Methods: How Upstream Petroleum Asset Valuation has Evolved in the Past and Where it Might go in the Future

2004· article· en· W2030102082 on OpenAlexaffabout
David G. Laughton

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian International Petroleum Conference · 2004
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicCapital Investment and Risk Analysis
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Alberta
Fundersnot available
KeywordsValuation (finance)CitationBusinessCorporationEconomicsComputer scienceMarketingFinanceLibrary science

Abstract

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Introduction The managers of a public corporation have a fiduciary responsibility to maximise the value of its assets, as determined by their price in the financial markets of relevance to its investors. There are a wide variety of approaches that attempt to determine which management alternative in any given commercial situation will maximise asset value. Practice in the upstream petroleum industry reflects this diversity and has evolved over time, as organisations have sought processes not only to make better choices from among alternatives for the design and management of real assets, but also to generate a better range of alternatives to consider. An important part of many of these approaches is the estimation of asset value using discounted cash-flow (DCF) methods. There has also been exploration of some other approaches to estimating asset value, some of which are known in the industry as "real options analysis" (ROA) methods. Unfortunately, there has been some confusion over the conceptual underpinnings of the various approaches to value estimation, the relationships among them and the implications of this for standards of best practice. Because of this, a group of industry managers and consultants decided to use the technical forum and workshop process of the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) to organise some pre-competitive investigations of these issues. Technical fora were held in 2000 and 2002. Participants in these fora requested a workshop on topics in "advanced" economic analysis, including probabilistic DCF analysis, decision tree analysis, and real options analysis. In response to this, the SPE asked me to organised a workshop on "The Theory and Art of Asset Valuation: Building a Case of Change - Applying to the Oil and Gas Industry What Finance has Learned". The workshop was held on 15–17 September 2003 in Banff, Canada. I gathered together a steering committee, consisting of:the former CEO of two leading independent oil and gas producers;a senior manager in a major division of a large operating company;people who, as managers, have been responsible for rolling out new evaluation processes in several large operating companies;people who act, or have acted, as internal evaluation consultants at several large operating companies;practice leaders at prominent economics, decision analysis and strategy consulting firms;a former senior manager at a major industry software supplier;a former senior manager at a major industry training organisation; andleading financial economists who have consulted on valuation to the industry. One of the key outputs of the workshop was a taxonomy of valuation methods that has come to be known as "the Banff taxonomy". It was designed to support discussions to clarify some of the confusion about valuation methods that has plagued the industry over the last couple of decades. Workshop participants and others since have found it to be very useful for this purpose. Figure (1) (Available in full paper)

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.701
Threshold uncertainty score0.980

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.064
GPT teacher head0.262
Teacher spread0.198 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2004
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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