Indirect comparison of the efficacy of cetuximab and cisplatin in squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Cetuximab (Erbitux*) is the only new medical therapy for locally and regionally advanced SCCHN to be licensed in industrialized countries in the past 15 years and presents an alternative to cisplatin which is the current therapeutic standard. In the absence of a published head-to-head trial, we estimated the relative benefit of cetuximab and cisplatin using an indirect comparison methodology. METHODS: We performed a systematic review of the Medline and Embase databases between 1998 and 2008 to find published trials of cisplatin plus radiotherapy vs. radiotherapy alone and synthesized the information with meta-analysis. Those results were combined with trial-based results of cetuximab plus radiotherapy vs. radiotherapy alone. Inclusion criteria stipulated that cisplatin be administered concurrently with radiation, the radiation protocol be comparable to the registration trial for cisplatin (once-daily, twice-daily, or concomitant boost) and cisplatin dosing be comparable to that in common use (i.e. day 1, 22 and 43 of treatment). Endpoints were locoregional control and overall survival. Two reviewers examined 269 abstracts which yielded four trials meeting the inclusion criteria. RESULTS: There was little evidence of superiority of either platinum-based radiotherapy or cetuximab-based radiotherapy. All estimated hazard ratios were near 1.0 (equivalence), all confidence intervals spanned the null value (1.0), and no consistent pattern was observed regarding the direction of the effect. The results remained robust in sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSION: This is the first quantitative analysis allowing formal comparison between cetuximab and radiotherapy versus cisplatin and radiotherapy. Based on state-of-the-art methodology for indirect comparisons, it was not possible to identify either treatment regimen as superior in prolonging either locoregional control or overall survival. Until the publication of more studies, and particularly a head-to-head comparison, the two treatments may be considered equally efficacious when given alongside radiotherapy. The choice of treatment may focus on the toxicity profile of the medications.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".