The Incubation Period of Acute Retroviral Syndrome as a Multistep Process
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A long duration of acute retroviral syndrome (ARS) and a short incubation of ARS (IncARS) are independent predictors of a fast progression to AIDS. The first objective of this study was to validate previous estimates of IncARS by comparing durations between health care workers (HCWs) accidentally infected by HIV and individuals infected by other routes (non-health care workers [N-HCWs]). The second objective was to use parametric survival models to generate hypotheses on various steps occurring during the IncARS. Data from a prospective cohort of patients with documented ARS and from individuals with ARS as the result of accidental exposure to HIV were analyzed. Nonparametric and parametric survival models were used to describe the incubation of ARS. No differences were found for the median IncARS between 34 HCWs (21.5 days) and 70 N-HCWs (21.5 days) (log-rank test, P = 0.72). According to survival models, IncARS can be modeled with a gamma and/or lognormal model with means of 26.4 days and 26.7 days, respectively. The gamma model suggests that 3 sequential stages are present during the IncARS, which is compatible with basic science investigations identifying crossing of the epithelial barrier by the virus, the virus-host cell interactions, and the viral systemic dissemination.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".