Bibliographic record
Abstract
The variability of the sea‐ice cover in the Arctic and subpolar regions associated with the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was investigated using historical data from 1901 to 1997. Unrotating principal component analyses (or empirical orthogonal functions, EOFs) were applied to demeaned, normalized sea‐level pressure (SLP), surface air temperature (SAT), and sea‐ice area (SIA) for the periods 1901–97 and 1953–97. The leading SLP EOF mode is the AO. The leading SIA EOF mode is named the Arctic Sea‐Ice Oscillation (ASIO), which accounts for 41% of the total variance for the period of 1901‐1995. This dominant ASIO is AO‐related; its spatial and temporal patterns are consistent with the leading modes of SLP and SAT, and with the total arctic sea‐ice anomalies. The second SIA mode is North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)‐related because sea‐ice anomalies in the Labrador Sea region and the Greenland Sea region are out of phase. During the last three decades, the arctic sea ice has significantly decreased, which may be the decreasing phase of long term variations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".