Bias-corrected maximum likelihood estimator of the intraclass correlation parameter for binary data
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
A popular model to analyse over/under-dispersed proportions is to assume the extended beta-binomial model with dispersion (intraclass correlation) parameter phi and then to estimate this parameter by maximum likelihood. However, it is well known that maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) may be biased when the sample size n or the total Fisher information is small. In this paper we obtain a bias-corrected maximum likelihood (BCML) estimator of the intraclass correlation parameter and compare it, by simulation, in terms of bias and efficiency, with the MLE, an estimator Q(2) based on optimal quadratic estimating equations of Crowder and recommended by Paul et al. and a double extended quasi-likelihood (DEQL) estimator proposed by Lee. The BCML estimator has superior bias and efficiency properties in most instances. Analyses of a set of toxicological data from Paul and a set of medical data pertaining to chromosomal abnormalities among survivors of the atomic bomb in Hiroshima from Otake and Prentice show, in general, much improvement in standard errors of the BCML estimates over the other three estimates.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.016 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it