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Record W2061125573 · doi:10.1289/ehp.119-a394

Climate Change and Infectious Disease: Is the Future Here?

2011· article· en· W2061125573 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Catherine M. Cooney

Bibliographic record

VenueEnvironmental Health Perspectives · 2011
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicFungal Infections and Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsHeadachesDiseaseDisease controlPublic healthMedicineGeographyDemographyEnvironmental healthSurgeryPathology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A fter kayaking on Vancouver Island's eastern shore, a 45-year-old woman's headaches and night sweats were little indication that she had been exposed to a rare and dangerous fungus while on the water.Her doctors, mystified as to the cause of the symptoms, didn't recognize that the infection was Cryptococcus gattii-a species of pathogenic yeast-until shortly before her death in 2002. 1 Most cases of C. gattii have been reported in the warmer climates of Australia, Asia, Africa, and Southern California.But at least two strains of the fungus are now affecting humans, pets, and wild animals in the U.S. Pacific Northwest. 2 From January 2004 through July 2010, a total of 15 people died from C. gattii infection, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and 60 human cases of the illness were reported in Oregon, Washington, California, and Idaho.3 Despite the alarming sound of the disease, public health officials in Oregon have urged residents not to consider the spread of C. gattii as a health emergency-although the fungus is present in the wild, few people have become seriously ill with this infection, and even fewer have died, says Oregon state epidemiologist Katrina Hedberg.Nevertheless, the mere presence of this foreign species so far from its home raises questions.Reports suggest the fungus may have been exported from its native habitat on commercially valuable trees such as eucalyptus and ornamental Ficus species.4 "We don't know exactly why the [Pacific Northwest] outbreak emerged," says Edmond Byrnes, a postdoctoral fellow at the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine who has studied the fungus.5 "One of the more current hypotheses is that climate change is one of the factors that should be considered."Byrnes explains that C. gattii may be able to establish itself in the Pacific Northwest region because of milder winters with daily average temperatures above freezing.C. gattii is one of several pathogens whose spread is hypothesized to be linked to climate change.Like many aspects of climate change, the connection with infectious disease involves controversy.Some

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.006
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.009
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.026
Threshold uncertainty score0.087

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0060.009
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0050.006
Scholarly communication0.0100.018
Open science0.0020.004
Research integrity0.0140.013
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0260.004

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.029
GPT teacher head0.284
Teacher spread0.255 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations15
Published2011
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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