Occult cirrhosis diagnosed by transient elastography is a frequent and under‐monitored clinical entity
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Diagnosis of preclinical compensated cirrhosis (occult cirrhosis, OC) is challenging due to lack of clinical findings. We evaluated prevalence and outcomes of OC by transient elastography (TE, Fibroscan(®)). METHODS: Eight hundred and seventy-one patients with compensated chronic liver disease (CLD) and TE examination were divided into: (i) OC (TE ≥ 13 kPa and no sign of cirrhosis, including absence of thrombocytopenia and signs of advanced liver disease on ultrasound or gastroscopy); (ii) clinically evident cirrhosis (TE ≥ 13 kPa with signs of cirrhosis); (iii) non-cirrhotic CLD (TE < 13 kPa). Outcomes included hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), esophageal varices and ascites. Late diagnosis of outcomes was defined as HCC stage ≥intermediate by BCLC or variceal bleeding. RESULTS: Occult cirrhosis represented 12% of the cohort and 37% of cirrhotic patients. Independent predictors of OC were age [odds ratio (OR) 1.15; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.04-1.26], HIV co-infection (OR 3.53; 95% CI, 1.85-6.76) and APRI (OR 2.63; 95 CI, 1.87-3.71). During a median follow-up of 24 (interquartile range 20-37) months, OC received less surveillance than clinically evident cirrhosis, with fewer ultrasounds (2.7 ± 1.5 vs 3.6 ± 2; P < 0.001) and gastroscopies (2 ± 0.8 vs 2.6 ± 1.4; P < 0.001). Incidence of outcomes was 3.5/100 per person-years (PY) (95% CI, 0.1-6.9) in OC, 0 in non-cirrhotic CLD and 9.8/100 PY (95% CI, 0.3-19.3) in clinically evident cirrhosis (P < 0.001). Late diagnosis occurred more in OC than clinically evident cirrhosis (60 vs 15%, P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Occult cirrhosis is a frequent and under-monitored clinical entity associated with short-term risk of outcomes. TE may help early diagnosis, prompt initiation of surveillance and specific therapy for an otherwise unrecognized condition.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".