On the Far Reaching Effects of Using Biased Estimates of Score Reliability: An Examination of the Problem in 20 Data Analyses
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Violation of either of two basic assumptions in classical test theory may lead to biased estimates of reliability. Violation of the assumption of essential tau-equivalence may produce underestimates, and the presence of correlated errors among measurement units may result in overestimates. The ubiquity of circumstances in which this problem may occur is not fully comprehended by many workers. This article surveys a variety of settings in which biased reliability estimates may be found in an effort to increase awareness of the prevalence of the problem.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.523 | 0.855 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.007 | 0.010 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.005 | 0.027 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.006 | 0.014 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.007 |
| Research integrity | 0.005 | 0.008 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".