D/H ratio during the northern polar summer and what the Phoenix mission might measure
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The Phoenix polar mission will land close to 68°N, 233°E in May 2008 at Ls ∼ 75 and operate 90 sols until Ls ∼ 125 with possible extension to Ls ∼ 142. Phoenix Meteorology (MET), Thermal and Evolved Gas Analyzer (TEGA) and Microscopy, Electrochemistry and Conductivity Analyzer (MECA) instrument packages will measure the air's temperature, water vapor concentration, ice crystal concentration and the water's stable isotope ratio D/H, and the D/H for the uppermost ground ice. This paper summarizes what is known about the seasonal cycle of atmospheric D/H and makes a theoretical connection between the atmospheric ratio and that expected from the ground ice that Phoenix will sample. A simple mixed cloud stable isotope model is used to show that the seasonal progress of D/H in the polar region cannot be used alone. It is argued that the seasonal cycle in D/H is explained by their being an interplay between multilatitudinal sources or reservoirs that have a range of reservoir D/H values. These reservoirs have different sizes and seasonal response times so that they release their water contributions at different times of the spring and summer and together explain most of the seasonal D/H observed by Mumma et al. (2003) and Novak et al. (2005). Phoenix observations from its high‐latitude vantage point during the summer and fall will add some atmospheric D/H values, temperature, water vapor concentration, and ice cloudiness data points that will constrain the various theoretical possibilities. The D/H of the ice recovered by Phoenix from the surface of the ground ice combined with the atmospheric D/H will suggest, whether the ground ice presently is a net receiver or supplier of water to the northern ice cap.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".