Predictors of early inactive disease in a juvenile idiopathic arthritis cohort: Results of a Canadian multicenter, prospective inception cohort study
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To determine early predictors of 6-month outcomes in a prospective cohort of patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). METHODS: Patients selected were those enrolled in an inception cohort study of JIA, the Research in Arthritis in Canadian Children Emphasizing Outcomes Study, within 6 months after diagnosis. The juvenile rheumatoid arthritis core criteria set and quality of life measures were collected at enrollment and 6 months later. Outcomes evaluated included inactive disease, Juvenile Arthritis Quality of Life Questionnaire (JAQQ) scores, and Childhood Health Assessment Questionnaire (C-HAQ) scores at 6 months. RESULTS: Thirty-three percent of patients had inactive disease at 6 months. Onset subtype and most baseline core criteria set measures correlated with all 3 outcomes. Relative to oligoarticular JIA, the risks of inactive disease were lower for enthesitis-related arthritis, polyarthritis rheumatoid factor (RF)-negative JIA, and polyarthritis RF-positive JIA, and were similar for psoriatic arthritis. In multiple regression analyses, the baseline JAQQ score was an independent predictor of all 3 outcomes. Other independent baseline predictors included polyarthritis RF-negative and systemic JIA for inactive disease; C-HAQ score and polyarthritis RF-positive JIA for the 6-month C-HAQ score; and active joint count, pain, and time to diagnosis for the 6-month JAQQ score. CONCLUSION: Clinical measures soon after diagnosis predict short-term outcomes for patients with JIA. The JAQQ is a predictor of multiple outcomes. Time to diagnosis affects quality of life in the short term.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it