Increased Hemodialysis Catheter Use in Canada and Associated Mortality Risk
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The 1999 Canadian vascular access guidelines recommend the fistula as the access of choice. The study describes the trends in hemodialysis access use, variation among provinces, and the association with mortality from 2001 to 2004. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS AND MEASUREMENTS: An observational study of adult patients registered in Canadian Organ Replacement Registry on hemodialysis. Access trends were examined among incident and prevalent hemodialysis patients adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, late referral, race, smoking status, province, etiology of end-stage renal disease, and comorbidities. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to analyze risk for death for patients followed to December 31, 2005. RESULTS: From 2001 to 2004, incident catheter use increased from 76.8% to 79.1%, fistulas decreased from 21.6% to 18.6%, and grafts remained between 2.1% to 2.6%. Prevalent catheter use increased from 41.8% to 51.7%, and fistulas and grafts decreased from 46.8% to 41.6% and 11.4% to 6.7%, respectively. There was significant variation in incident and prevalent fistulae use among the provinces. Adjustment for differences in patient characteristics did not change these trends. Incident catheter use was associated with a 6 times greater risk of death compared with fistula or graft use combined. CONCLUSIONS: In Canada there has been a decrease in fistulae and grafts with a subsequent increase in catheters that is not explained by changes in patient characteristics. Vascular access use varied by province, suggesting differences in practice patterns. Because incident catheter use was associated with increased mortality, urgent measures are needed to develop strategies to decrease catheter use.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".