Towards pheromone‐based monitoring of nun moth, <i>Lymantria monacha</i> (L.) (Lep., Lymantriidae) populations
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The research objective was to develop pheromone‐based monitoring of the nun moth, Lymantria monacha (L.), an important defoliator of spruce and pine forests in central Europe. In 38 spruce or pine forests in central Europe, captures of male L. monacha in nonsaturating Unitraps and saturating Delta sticky traps baited with 0.2, 2, 20, or 200 μg of the L. monacha (pheromone) volatile blend [(±)‐disparlure, (±)‐monachalure, and 2‐methyl‐ Z 7‐octadecene at a 20 : 20 : 1 ratio] were compared with estimates of population densities obtained by counts of larval faecal pellets, pupal cases, and adult moths resting on tree trunks. Total captures of male L. monacha throughout the flight season in both types of trap were correlated with numbers of larval faecal pellets, irrespective of pheromone dose. Nonsaturating Unitraps baited with 2 μg of the L. monacha volatile blend seem to provide a cost‐effective tool for monitoring densities of L. monacha populations. Long‐term testing of this monitoring system has been initiated to substantiate the quantitative relationship between larval populations and trap captures of male L. monacha and to determine the threshold number of captured male moths that indicates an incipient outbreak.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it