Modelling incoming radiation on a linear disturbance and its impact on the ground thermal regime in discontinuous permafrost
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Human‐induced disturbances and climate‐driven warming have resulted in unprecedented permafrost thaw in the zone of discontinuous permafrost. In a peatland environment south of Fort Simpson, NWT, we study the contribution of increases in incoming radiation to the ground surface, caused by removal of the tree canopy along linear disturbances, to changes in the ground thermal regime. A physically based understanding of thaw processes along linear disturbances is required in order to better understand the slow recovery of lines in this environment and to be able to efficiently reduce this impact during future resource exploration. The impact of increases in incoming radiation are examined through the development of a model (seismic incoming radiation model) to quantify these inputs, which are then used to drive the one‐dimensional coupled atmospheric‐surface‐subsurface model COUP. Results of this study show that incoming radiation (shortwave + longwave) is increased by up to 11% in a typical cutline compared to an undisturbed canopy. Relative to potential changes in near‐surface soil moisture, these increases in radiation do not appear to be an important control of permafrost thaw along linear disturbances. Field observations confirm that increased permafrost thaw on disturbances often occur irrespective of variations in incoming radiation. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".