Bibliographic record
Abstract
Fertility, as a component of population change, caught the attention of many demographers since the relationship between population and society has been established. Even though micro level theories successfully projected trends of fertility at local level but finding a global theory is still a way to go. Macro theories failed to overcome social, cultural, and political boundaries. The solution can go either way. Demographers can all together give up on looking a grand theory. Or they can go for the regional theories because not all economic, social, or cultural mechanism operates equally to lower down fertility. The present paper is an attempt to question the validity of unified theory of fertility, thereby, an attempt to look for a modified version of fertility theory which would be better fit at the regional level. Key words: Fertility, theories of fertility, regional theory, unified theory, validity of fertility theory Resume: La fecondite, comme une composante de l'evolution demographique, a attire l'attention de nombreux demographes depuis que la relation entre la population et la societe a ete etablie. Meme si la theorie micro-niveau a projete a succes les tendances de la fecondite au niveau local mais il y a encore un longue chemin a parcourir a trouver une theorie globale. Macro theorie a echoue a surmonter les bornes sociales, culturelles et politiques. La solution peut aller a l'une ou l'autre route. Les demographes peuvent donner tous ensemble sur la recherche d'une grande theorie. Ou ils peuvent aller pour la theorie regionale parce que ce n’est pas tous le mecanisme economique, social, culturel fonctionne egalement a diminuer la fecondite. Le present document est une tentative de remettre en question la validite de la theorie unifiee de la fecondite, de ce fait, une tentative de chercher une version modifiee de la theorie de feconditequi serait mieux adaptes au niveau regional. Mots-Cles: Fecondite, theorie de fecondite, theorie regional, theorie unifiee, validite de la theorie de fecondite
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.011 | 0.014 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.017 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.009 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.007 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".