Medical Male Circumcision and Herpes Simplex Virus 2 Acquisition: Posttrial Surveillance in Kisumu, Kenya
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: We estimated the 72-month efficacy of medical male circumcision (MMC) against herpes simplex virus 2 (HSV-2) incidence among men in the Kisumu MMC randomized trial. METHODS: From 2002 to 2005, 2784 men aged 18-24 were enrolled and randomized 1:1 to immediate circumcision or control. Cox proportional hazards regression incorporating stabilized inverse probability of treatment and censoring weights generated through marginal structural modeling was used to estimate the efficacy of MMC on HSV-2 risk. Conventional conditional Cox regression identified multivariable risks for HSV-2 seroconversion. RESULTS: Among 2044 HSV-2 seronegative men at baseline, the cumulative 72-month HSV-2 incidence was 33.5% (32.7% among circumcised men, 34.6% among uncircumcised men). In weight-adjusted Cox regression, the hazard ratio was 0.88 (95% confidence interval, .77-1.10). In multivariable analyses, risks for HSV-2 included human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, genital ulcer disease (GUD), penile epithelial trauma, multiple recent sex partners, and being married /cohabiting. CONCLUSIONS: MMC had no effect on acquisition of HSV-2 during 72 months of follow-up. The temporal sequence and limited correlation between HSV-2, GUD, and penile epithelial trauma suggests that these are distinct phenomena rather than misclassification of HSV-2 symptoms. Determining the etiology of non-sexually transmitted infection GUD and penile epithelial trauma is needed, as both are commonly occurring risks for HSV-2 and HIV acquisition. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT0005937.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".