Complex interactions among MHC haplotypes in multiple sclerosis: susceptibility and resistance
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Mechanisms for observed associations within the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) and autoimmune diseases including multiple sclerosis (MS) remain uncertain. Genotyping of the HLA Class II DRB1 locus in 4347 individuals from 873 multiplex families with MS highlights the genetic complexity of this locus. Excess allele sharing in sibling pair families lacking DRB1*15 and DRB1*17 (58.5% sharing; P=0.012) was comparable to that seen where parents were DRB1*15 positive (62%, P=0.0006). DRB1*17 (P=0.00027) was clearly established as an MS susceptibility allele in addition to DRB1*15 (P<10(-14)). DRB1*14 showed striking under-transmission (P=0.000032) to affected offspring newly establishing this allele as a broadly acting resistance factor. Trans interactions were seen in both DRB1*15 and non-DRB1*15 bearing genotype combinations. DRB1*08 was transmitted preferentially with DRB1*15 (P=0.0114) and, in the presence of DRB1*08, the transmission of DRB1*15 was almost invariable (37 transmissions to one non-transmission). DRB1*01 was under-transmitted to offspring in the presence of DRB1*15 (P=0.019). Both DRB1*01 and DRB1*14 haplotypes carry DQA1*01-DQB1*05 alleles, suggesting a common DQ-related mechanism for the protection mediated by these haplotypes. These studies demonstrate that it is the Class II genotype that determines susceptibility and resistance to MS. By analogy with celiac disease and type I diabetes, the pattern of susceptibility strongly supports an autoimmune aetiology.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it