Poisson's Equation in Nonlinear Filtering
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The goal of this paper is to gain insight into the equations arising in nonlinear filtering, as well as into the feedback particle filter introduced in recent research. The analysis is inspired by the optimal transportation literature and by prior work on variational formulation of nonlinear filtering. The construction involves a discrete-time recursion based on the successive solution of minimization problems involving the so-called forward variational representation of the elementary Bayes' formula. The construction shows that the dynamics of the nonlinear filter may be regarded as a gradient flow, or a steepest descent, for a certain energy functional with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence pseudo-metric. The feedback particle filter algorithm is obtained using similar analysis. This filter is a controlled system, where the control is obtained via consideration of the first order optimality conditions for the variational problem. The filter is shown to be exact, i.e., the posterior distribution of the particle matches exactly the true posterior, provided the filter is initialized with the true prior.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".