Genetically decreased<i>CYP2A6</i>and the risk of tobacco dependence: a prospective study of novice smokers
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Case control studies in adults suggest that defective alleles in the gene that codes for the hepatic cytochrome P450 2A6 (CYP2A6) protect against nicotine dependence (ND) and higher levels of cigarette consumption. These two hypotheses were tested in young adolescents. DESIGN: Self reports of tobacco use and ND symptoms were collected every 3-4 months in a prospective study of 1293 grade 7 students from a convenience sample of 10 schools. SUBJECTS: 281 smokers with genetic data were analysed; those who were not already tobacco dependent and who had inhaled (n = 228) were followed 29.9 months on average, until they became dependent or were censored. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The association between metabolic activity, represented by CYP2A6 genotype, and conversion to dependence was analysed using Cox's proportional hazards model. RESULTS: During follow up 67 subjects (29.4%) became dependent. Relative to CYP2A6*1/*1, having 1-2 copies of the inactive CYP2A6*2 or *4 variant was a strong risk factor for developing dependence (hazard ratio 2.8, 95% confidence 1.3 to 6.3). Subjects with 1-2 partially inactive CYP2A6*9 or *12 variants were not at increased risk. Mean past-week cigarette consumption at the end of follow up (controlling for age, sex, and number of months since first inhalation) among dependent subjects was 29.1 among normal inactivators, compared to 17.2, and 12.7 among slower (1-2 copies of *9 or *12), and slowest (1-2 copies of *2 or *4) inactivators, respectively (p = 0.09). CONCLUSION: Adolescents with 1-2 copies of CYP2A6*2 or *4 are at substantially increased risk of becoming dependent but smoke less once dependent. Genetic risk for ND may need to be considered in the conceptualisation of tobacco control programmes for adolescents.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it