Predicting Epileptic Seizures in Scalp EEG Based on a Variational Bayesian Gaussian Mixture Model of Zero-Crossing Intervals
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A novel patient-specific seizure prediction method based on the analysis of positive zero-crossing intervals in scalp electroencephalogram (EEG) is proposed. In a moving-window analysis, the histogram of these intervals for the current EEG epoch is computed, and the values corresponding to specific bins are selected as an observation. Then, the set of observations from the last 5 min is compared with two reference sets of data points (preictal and interictal) through novel measures of similarity and dissimilarity based on a variational Bayesian Gaussian mixture model of the data. A combined index is then computed and compared with a patient-specific threshold, resulting in a cumulative measure which is utilized to form an alarm sequence for each channel. Finally, this channel-based information is used to generate a seizure prediction alarm. The proposed method was evaluated using ∼ 561 h of scalp EEG including a total of 86 seizures in 20 patients. A high sensitivity of 88.34 % was achieved with a false prediction rate of 0.155 h⁻¹ and an average prediction time of 22.5 min for the test dataset. The proposed method was also tested against a Poisson-based random predictor.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".