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Record W2153295902 · doi:10.3141/2465-10

Is Heightened Environmental Sensitivity Responsible for Drop in Young Adults’ Rates of Driver's License Acquisition?

2014· article· en· W2153295902 on OpenAlexaff
Scott Le Vine, Peter Jones, Martin Lee-Gosselin, John Polak

Bibliographic record

VenueTransportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicUrban Transport and Accessibility
Canadian institutionsCentre de Développement du Porc du Québec
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPollingLicenseMicrodata (statistics)Young adultDemographic economicsNational Longitudinal SurveysPublic opinionDemographyPsychologyPolitical scienceEconomicsSociologyPopulationDevelopmental psychologyCensusPoliticsLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Across a range of developed societies, rates of driver's license acquisition by young adults have fallen from their historic peak levels (which in Britain were in the early 1990s). A widely discussed hypothesis to explain this trend is that the heightened environmental sensitivity of the current cohort of young adults could be fully or in part responsible. The objective of this study was to establish whether empirical evidence provided support for this hypothesis. Public opinion polling data from Britain and the United States and British National Travel Survey microdata were statistically analyzed. No evidence was found, either from the United States or Britain, of the populace becoming increasingly inclined toward environmental protection. On the basis of longitudinal trends in public opinion polling, the opposite seemed to be true. Analysis of British National Travel Survey data (n = 2,820 unlicensed adults aged 17 to 29) showed that few young British adults without driver's licenses (approximately 1%) reported that environmental sensitivity was either the main reason or a contributory reason that they had not acquired a driver's license. By contrast, more than half (59%) of not fully licensed young British adults reported that they were either learning to drive (27%) or were put off mainly by the license acquisition testing requirements (2%) or by costs associated with motoring (30%). These findings are evidence contrary to the hypothesis that growing environmental sensitivity is responsible for falling rates of licensing of young adults, at least in Britain and the United States.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.022
Threshold uncertainty score0.044

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.055
GPT teacher head0.388
Teacher spread0.333 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations11
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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