Confidence Interval Coverage for Cohen's Effect Size Statistic
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Kelley compared three methods for setting a confidence interval (CI) around Cohen's standardized mean difference statistic: the noncentral- t-based, percentile (PERC) bootstrap, and biased-corrected and accelerated (BCA) bootstrap methods under three conditions of nonnormality, eight cases of sample size, and six cases of population effect size (ES) magnitude. Kelley recommended the BCA bootstrap method. The authors expand on his investigation by including additional cases of nonnormality. Like Kelley, they find that under many conditions, the BCA bootstrap method works best; however, they also find that in some cases of nonnormality, the method does not control probability coverage. The authors also define a robust parameter for ES and a robust sample statistic, based on trimmed means and Winsorized variances, and cite evidence that coverage probability for this parameter is good over the range of nonnormal distributions investigated when the PERC bootstrap method is used to set CIs for the robust ES.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it