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Record W2162886934 · doi:10.1139/x00-032

Prediction of diurnal change in 10-h fuel stick moisture content

2000· article· en· W2162886934 on OpenAlex
Ralph M. Nelson

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

venuePublished in a venue whose home country is Canada.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Journal of Forest Research · 2000
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFire effects on ecosystems
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsWater contentEnvironmental scienceRelative humidityMoistureMeteorologyAutomatic weather stationAtmospheric sciencesHumidityWeather stationGeographyGeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Several methods are available for estimating the moisture content of 10-h response time fuels in the U.S. National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS). These fuels are represented by an array of four 1.27 cm diameter ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa Dougl. ex Laws.) dowels weighing about 100 g when oven dry. The prediction model currently used in the NFDRS is driven by information from afternoon weather readings. To improve responsiveness of the predictions to weather change, a 10-h stick moisture content prediction model is developed that uses observations (air temperature and relative humidity, insolation, and rainfall amount) available from a remote automatic weather station (RAWS). Equations describing the transfer of heat and moisture at the surface and within a 10-h stick are derived and then solved numerically. Collection of field experimental data on weather, stick weight, and stick temperature to guide development of the model is briefly described, and predicted and observed mean moisture contents are compared. Additional 10-h stick moisture content data, collected independently, are used to test model predictions. Calculated values are sometimes outside the bounds of variability in moisture content determined from the data, suggesting the need for further tests. The model simulates diurnal change in moisture content and temperature of 10-h sticks but can be adapted to cylindrical wood sticks of any practical size.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.452
Threshold uncertainty score0.994

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0070.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.079
GPT teacher head0.281
Teacher spread0.203 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it