Comparison of the Power of Lognormality Tests with Different Right-Tail Alternative Distributions
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In flood frequency analysis (FFA), the adequate choice of distribution to fit data is a major problem. The three-parameter lognormal (LN3) distribution has an intermediate tail behavior between the distributions of the Class C (regularly varying distributions) and those of the Class D (subexponential distributions). HYFRAN software performs a complete frequency analysis for approximately twenty distributions often used in hydrology including the LN3 and distributions of Classes C and D. A decision support system (DSS) was added to the HYFRAN software to become the HYFRAN-PLUS software. It allows distinguishing between the distributions of Classes C and D. The objective of the present study is to discriminate between the LN3 distribution and that of Class C of regularly varying distributions (heavier tail) and D of subexponential distributions (lighter tail) and then to improve the current version of the DSS. The power of several normality tests is evaluated for log-transformed variates using a Monte Carlo approach for different alternative hypothesis. The Jarque-Bera test has been found the most powerful on transformed data. Results show a strong dependence between the values of the parameters and the power of the test as well as the quantile estimation errors. Results lead to the development of a LN3 goodness-of-fit procedure, based on the coefficient of variation, the coefficient of skewness and the Jarque-Bera normality test. This procedure will be added to the Decision Support System of the HYFRAN-PLUS software.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".