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Record W2203413179 · doi:10.5595/idrim.2015.0099

Systems Approach to Management of Disasters – A Missed Opportunity

2015· article· en· W2203413179 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Slobodan P. Simonović

Bibliographic record

VenueIDRiM Journal · 2015
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicFacility Location and Emergency Management
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEmergency managementDamagesContext (archaeology)Risk analysis (engineering)Natural disasterEnvironmental planningScale (ratio)Computer scienceEnvironmental resource managementManagement scienceBusinessPolitical scienceGeographyEngineeringEconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Everyday life is overwhelmed by critical phenomena that occur on specific spatial and temporal scales. Typical examples are floods, landslides, storm surges, and similar. All these phenomena might have, whenever they occur, significant negative consequences for human lives. They often result from complex dynamics involving interaction of innumerable system parts within three major systems: (i) the physical environment; (ii) the social and demographic characteristics of the communities that experience them; and (iii) the buildings, roads, bridges, and other components of the constructed environment. In non-scientific terms, such events are commonly referred to as disasters. Proper management in the face of a natural disaster necessitates a transformation of attitude towards integration of economic, social and environmental concerns related to disasters, and of the actions necessary to deal with them. Recent trends in confronting disasters include consideration of the entire region under threat, explicit consideration of all costs and benefits, elaboration of a large number of alternatives to reduce the damages, and the greater participation of all stakeholders in decision-making. Systems approaches based on simulation, optimization, and multi-objective analyses have great potential for providing appropriate support for effective disaster management in this emerging context. The systems approach to managing disasters outlines proven strategies for pooling interdisciplinary resources more efficiently to boost emergency responses. Looking at the disaster management practice, with primary focus on Canada, this paper explores the question of why advances in systems theory have failed on a broader scale to majorly transform management of disasters. The paper identifies whether and how that knowledge and systems science can be deployed to improve disaster management in the face of rapid climate destabilization so that sustainability becomes the norm, not the occasional success story.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.686
Threshold uncertainty score0.535

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.135
GPT teacher head0.266
Teacher spread0.131 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations29
Published2015
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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