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Record W2254701113

Analysis of Rising Wheat Prices: India Story

2010· article· en· W2254701113 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Sandhya Singh

Bibliographic record

VenueSSRN Electronic Journal · 2010
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicMarket Dynamics and Volatility
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsInflation (cosmology)EconomicsAgricultural economicsCommodityMonetary economicsQuarter (Canadian coin)GeographyFinance
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Inflation, as measured by year-on-year variations in the whole sale price index (WPI), had declined sharply to 0.8 per cent by end-March 2009 from the peak of 12.9 per cent on August 2, 2008. In 2009-10, it further declined and turned negative in early-June 2009 and continues to remain negative since then (-1.2 per cent as on July 11, 2009). The observed negative WPI inflation reflects the high base effect on account of sharp increases in prices during the first half of 2008-09. The momentum of the WPI since end-March 2009, however, indicates the existence of price pressures. During 2009-10 (up to July 11,2009) WPI has registered an increase of 3.5 per cent. The upward revision in prices of administered petroleum products effective from July 2, 2009 on account of increases in international crude prices partly contributed to the increase in WPI during this period. Though international commodity prices had declined substantially from the peak recorded in 2008-09, they exhibited some firming up in the first quarter of 2009-10. The domestic supply prospects of key commodities are also affected by the delay in the progress of the monsoon. The visible signs of price pressures even as the headline inflation number turned negative over the short-run pose complex challenges. CPI based inflation in India remains high and the divergence between WPI inflation and CPI inflation continues to persist. In view of the scenario stated above the present paper attempts to analyse the reason behind the price rise in the commodities, particularly in wheat.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.017
Threshold uncertainty score0.033

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.005
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.214
Teacher spread0.205 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2010
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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