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Record W2290925108 · doi:10.1017/s0266466616000025

EFFICIENT ESTIMATION USING THE CHARACTERISTIC FUNCTION

2016· article· en· W2290925108 on OpenAlexaff
Marine Carrasco, Rachidi Kotchoni

Bibliographic record

VenueEconometric Theory · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Inference
Canadian institutionsUniversité de Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMathematicsEstimatorStein's unbiased risk estimateEfficient estimatorApplied mathematicsRegularization (linguistics)Bias of an estimatorConsistency (knowledge bases)Mean squared errorAsymptotic distributionConsistent estimatorMathematical optimizationEstimation theoryMinimum-variance unbiased estimatorStatisticsComputer scienceArtificial intelligence

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The method of moments procedure proposed by Carrasco and Florens (2000) permits full exploitation of the information contained in the characteristic function and yields an estimator which is asymptotically as efficient as the maximum likelihood estimator. However, this estimation procedure depends on a regularization or tuning parameter α that needs to be selected. The aim of the present paper is to provide a way to optimally choose α by minimizing the approximate mean square error (AMSE) of the estimator. Following an approach similar to that of Donald and Newey (2001), we derive a higher-order expansion of the estimator from which we characterize the finite sample dependence of the AMSE on α . We propose to select the regularization parameter by minimizing an estimate of the AMSE. We show that this procedure delivers a consistent estimator of α . Moreover, the data-driven selection of the regularization parameter preserves the consistency, asymptotic normality, and efficiency of the CGMM estimator. Simulation experiments based on a CIR model show the relevance of the proposed approach.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.007
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.042
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.035

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0070.042
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0020.002
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.090
GPT teacher head0.340
Teacher spread0.250 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations25
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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