Static and pseudo-static stability analysis of tailings storage facilities using deterministic and probabilistic methods
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Tailings facilities are vast man-made structures designed and built for the storage and management of mill effluents throughout the life of a mining project. There are different types of tailings storage facilities (TSF) classified in accordance with the method of construction of the embankment and the mechanical properties of the tailings to be stored. The composition of tailings is determined by the mineral processing technique used to obtain the concentrate as well as the physical and chemical properties of the ore body. As a common denominator, TSFs are vulnerable to failure due to design or operational deficiencies, site-specific features, or due to random variables such as material properties, seismic events or unusual precipitation. As a result, long-term risk based stability assessment of mine wastes storage facilities is necessary.The stability analyses of TSFs are traditionally conducted using the Limit Equilibrium Method (LEM). However, it has been demonstrated that relying exclusively on this approach may not warrant full understanding of the behaviour of the TSF because the LEM neglects the stress-deformation constitutive relationships that ensure displacement compatibility. Furthermore, the intrinsic variability of tailings properties is not taken into account either because it is basically a deterministic method. In order to overcome these limitations of the LEM, new methods and techniques have been proposed for slope stability assessment. The Strength Reduction Technique (SRT) based on the Finite Element Method (FEM), for instance, has been successfully applied for this purpose. Likewise, stability assessment with the probabilistic approach has gained more and more popularity in mining engineering because it offers a comprehensive and more realistic estimation of TSFs performance. In the light of the advances in numerical modelling and geotechnical engineering applied to the mining industry, this thesis presents a stability analysis comparison between an upstream tailings storage facility (UTSF), and a water retention tailings dam (WRTD). First, the effect of embankment/tailings height increase on the overall stability is evaluated under static and pseudo-static states. Second, the effect of the phreatic surface location in the UTSF, and the embankment to core permeability ratio in the WRTD are investigated. The analyses are conducted using rigorous and simplified LEMs and the FEM - SRT. In order to take into consideration the effect of the intrinsic variability of tailings properties on stability, parametric analyses are conducted to identify the critical random variables of each TSF. Finally, the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS), and the Point Estimate Method (PEM) are applied to recalculate the FOS and to estimate the probability of failure and reliability indices of each analysis. The results are compared against the minimum static and pseudo-static stability requirements and design guidelines applicable to mining operations in the Province of Quebec, Canada.Keywords: Tailings storage facilities (TSF), Limit Equilibrium Method (LEM), Shear Reduction Technique (SST), pseudo-static seismic coefficient, probability of failure, Point Estimate Method (PEM), Reliability Index.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
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Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
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