Predicting Extended Length of Hospital Stay in an Adult Spinal Deformity Surgical Population
Bibliographic record
Abstract
STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective review of a prospective multicenter database. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to identify variables associated with extended length of stay (ExtLOS) and this impact on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) scores in adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: ASD surgery is complex and associated with complications including extLOS. Although variables contributing to extLOS have been considered, specific complications and pre-disposing factors among ASD surgical patients remain to be investigated. INCLUSION CRITERIA: ASD surgical patients (age >18 years, scoliosis ≥20°, sagittal vertical axis ≥5 cm, pelvic tilt ≥25°, and/or thoracic kyphosis >60°) with complete demographic, radiographic, and HRQoL data at baseline, 6 weeks, and 2 years postoperative. ExtLOS was based on 75th percentile (≥9 days). Univariate and multivariate analyses identified predictors and evaluated effects on outcomes. Repeated-measures mixed models analyzed impact of ExtLOS on HRQoL [Oswestry Disability Index; Short Form-36 physical component summary/mental component summary; SRS22r Activity (AC), Pain (P), Appearance (AP), Satisfaction (S), Mental (M) and Total (T)]. RESULTS: Three hundred eighty patients met inclusion criteria: 105 (27.6%) had extLOS (≥9 days) and 275 (72.4%) did not. Average LOS was 8 days (range: 1-30 days). Age [odds ratio (OR) 1.04], no. of levels fused (OR 1.12), no. of infections (OR 2.29), no. of neurologic complications (OR 2.51), Charlson Comorbidity Index Score (CCI) predicted ExtLOS (OR 3.92), and no. of intraop complications predicted ExtLOS (OR 3.56). ExtLOS patients had more intracardiopulmonary (pleural effusion: 1.9% vs. 0%) and operative complications (dural tear: 13.3% vs. 5.1%; excessive blood loss: 18% vs. 5.8%) (P < 0.022). At 2 years, both groups of patients experienced an overall improvement in all HRQoL scores (P < 0.001). ExtLOS patients had significantly less overall improvement in all HRQoLs (P < 0.01) except for MCS (P = 0.17) and SRS M (P = 0.08). CONCLUSION: Extended LOS of ASD patients is affected by comorbidities (higher CCI) and number of intraoperative, but not peri-operative, complications. All patients improved overall in HRQoL scores, but extended LOS patients improved less overall at 2 years in comparison. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".