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Clinical trials: what are we afraid of, what should we do?

2014· letter· en· W2324029801 on OpenAlexaff
Tim E. Darsaut, Jean Raymond

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of NeuroInterventional Surgery · 2014
Typeletter
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicIntracranial Aneurysms: Treatment and Complications
Canadian institutionsHôpital Notre-DameUniversity of Alberta HospitalCentre Hospitalier de l’Université de MontréalHealth Sciences Centre
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineClinical trialInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

We would like to respond to an editorial in the September issue of the journal because it rehearses much confusion and many misconceptions about clinical trials.1 More importantly, the authors’ recommendations are wrong-headed and can only harm our patients and, secondarily, our specialty. The authors discuss some of the difficulties with recent randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that have not demonstrated the good outcomes our interventions were purported to deliver. The title of the editorial, that RCTs can be a ‘double-edged sword’, seems to warn the reader against something, but against what exactly? 1. Could it be that we are designing and participating in too many trials? In fact, we are collectively responsible for our field delivering poor (if any) evidence regarding the merits of our daily interventions. We need more trials, preferably trials designed and conducted by neurointerventionists. We must regain control of how to evaluate the merits of our own practice. Most importantly, if we are to offer patients care that they can trust, we must be constantly working to validate our still unvalidated interventions. What is the best way for us to do this? A trial, of course, but not just any type of trial. We will get back to this point. 2. Should we distrust the disappointing results of recent RCTs because they have ‘limitations’, as the citation from Concato1 suggests? What are we to do about trials that have design shortcomings? Should we stubbornly practice interventions that have now been shown to be harmful, albeit in trials ‘with limitations’, claiming them to be standard of care, just like an intervention that has been proven beneficial? Of course not; disappointing trial results simply mean that such interventions should only be offered within the context of better designed trials. 3. Should the readers of the editorial be warned against …

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.197
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.530
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.197
Threshold uncertainty score0.991

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.1970.530
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0040.003
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0150.006
Bibliometrics0.0070.007
Science and technology studies0.0070.023
Scholarly communication0.0330.039
Open science0.0120.004
Research integrity0.0580.081
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.009

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.276
GPT teacher head0.417
Teacher spread0.140 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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